A renowed Statistician has projected that Jubilee will win by 51.2% in the coming Elections. The following is the summary and estimated votes by region:
1. *Coast:* Jubilee-431,198 & NASA-1,302,524
2. *North Eastern*: Jubilee-299,694 & NASA-187,186
3. *Eastern:* Jubilee-1,551,482 & NASA-1,435,188
4. *Central:* Jubilee-2,751,067 & NASA-161,592
5. *Rift Valley:* Jubilee-3,280,246 & NASA - 1,364,566
6. *Western:* Jubilee - 151,457 & NASA - 1,770,709
7. *Nyanza:* Jubilee - 308,360 & NASA - 2,377,808
8. *Nairobi:* Jubilee - 1,109,751 & NASA - 1,194,645
Total: Jubilee - 9,883,246 & NASA - 9,794,317
*Note: The above analysis assumes a 100% voter turn-out for either parties and uses the latest IEBC Data* *The data was collected between 13 - 14 April, 2017 and before the NASA line up was named, hence the situation may have shifted since then*. Another analysis will be done in 2 weeks time
Using the same data;
Jubilee is expected to win the following counties: Mandera, Meru, Tharaka Nithi, Embu, Nyandarua, Nyeri, Kirinyaga, Murang'a, Kiambu, West Pokot, Uasin Gichu, Elgeyo Marakwet, Nandi, Baringo, Laikipia, Nakuru, Narok, Kajiado and Bomet
NASA on the other hand is projected to win the following counties: Mombasa, Kwale, Kilifi, Tana River, Taita Taveta, Kitui, Machakos, Makueni, Turkana, Kakamega, Vihiga, Bungoma, Busia, Siaya, Kisumu, Homa Bay, Migori, Kisii and Nyamira
The following counties are projected to be the battlegrounds: Lamu, Garissa, Wajir, Marsabit, Isiolo, Samburu, Trans Nzoia, Narok, Kajiado and Nairobi
